Performance Viewed Through the Perspective of Money Supply

Gold has been one of the strongest performing assets in 2025, increasing by 38% year to date, outpacing Bitcoin’s 23% advance. It’s no secret, however, that Bitcoin has performed significantly better than gold — and pretty much everything else — throughout its brief existence.

A comparison of these two popular inflation-resistant assets relative to a broad measure of the U.S. money supply, known as M2, reveals further insights about their performances.

When adjusted for M2 growth, gold — despite its recent strong performance — remains below its 2011 peak and at roughly the same level as it was in 1975. The all-time high for gold relative to M2 occurred in 1980.

Bitcoin tells a different story. Each bull cycle has seen BTC reach a new high against M2, including last month when Bitcoin achieved both an absolute all-time high and a new relative high against the money supply.

Bitcoin relative to M2 money supply

Bitcoin relative to M2 money supply (RialCenter)

This contrast highlights the differing roles of these two assets. Gold continues to act as a long-standing hedge and stabilizer in investment portfolios, while Bitcoin’s behavior illustrates how new forms of currency can respond differently in an era of rapid monetary expansion.

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