DOGE Price Falls 5% as ‘Lower Highs’ Indicate Potential Further Drops

News Background

  • Between August 24–25, a whale moved 900 million DOGE (worth over $200 million) to Binance, raising concerns about distribution from long-term holders.
  • Corporate treasuries and institutional funds have decreased their meme-coin exposure due to growing regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic challenges.
  • Network security remains strong, with Dogecoin’s hashrate exceeding 2.9 petahashes per second, indicating robust mining activity despite price fluctuations.
  • While overall crypto markets are supported by expectations of Fed policy easing, DOGE is still lagging behind major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH.

Price Action Summary

  • DOGE decreased by 5% from August 28 at 09:00 to August 29 at 08:00, dropping from $0.22 to $0.21.
  • The token traded within a limited $0.011 range, hitting a high of $0.23 and a low of $0.21.
  • Institutional selling was noticeable, with 626.3 million tokens exchanged during morning trading as $0.22 support failed.
  • The most significant movement occurred between 07:24 and 08:23 GMT on August 29, when DOGE fell 0.57% from $0.22 to $0.21 on a volume spike of 27.36 million tokens.

Technical Analysis

  • Support: Initial stability around $0.22 has been lost; $0.21 is now the immediate support level.
  • Resistance: $0.23 remains a near-term barrier, consistently rejecting upward attempts.
  • Momentum: RSI is currently in the mid-40s, signaling a neutral-to-bearish bias with limited upward momentum.
  • Volume: Daily trading volume surpassed 280.5 million tokens, primarily driven by institutional selling during peak periods.
  • Indicators: MACD lines are showing a bearish divergence, indicating further downside risks unless the price recovers to $0.22.
  • Pattern: A tight range of $0.21–$0.23 indicates consolidation, but repeated lower highs suggest a risk of further declines.

What Traders Are Watching

  • $0.21 is a crucial support level; breaking below could expose $0.20.
  • A breakthrough at $0.23 may shift momentum and create potential targets of $0.25–$0.30.
  • Observers are focusing on whale inflows following the $200 million transfer to Binance.
  • Futures open interest has declined by 8% earlier this week, serving as an indicator of speculative sentiment.

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