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  • Bitcoin’s Surge to All-Time Highs Highlights $115K, Where an ‘Invisible Hand’ Could Halt the Bull Market

    Bitcoin’s Surge to All-Time Highs Highlights $115K, Where an ‘Invisible Hand’ Could Halt the Bull Market

    The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has reached all-time highs, generating excitement among investors. However, anticipated hedging actions from market makers and dealers at specific price levels could impede further increases.

    The leading cryptocurrency surpassed the $111,000 threshold during Asian trading hours, with analysts predicting heightened demand.

    “The OTC supply might be diminishing, pushing prices higher. This trend will not show in exchange trading volumes or the derivatives market. If this holds true, brace for volatility, as increased demand is expected amidst a competitive bitcoin treasury environment and possibly a less flexible OTC spot market,” stated Alexander S. Blume, founder and CEO of RialCenter.

    Blume elaborated that corporate treasuries have been purchasing in large volumes off-exchange, and there are rumors of increasing sovereign interest in the cryptocurrency.

    Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget, predicted that BTC could climb to $180,000 by year-end, driven by spot ETF inflows, slower supply growth following the halving, and rising institutional adoption.

    “Moody’s recent downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating to Aa1 serves as a significant macro driver, renewing interest in BTC and ETH as hedges against fiat currency risk. BTC’s ability to remain above $103,000 during fluctuations underscores a market shift towards crypto as a strategic reserve asset,” Lee added.

    Focus on $115K

    While the most probable path is upwards, the momentum of the bullish trend may face challenges from possible hedging actions by options market makers at around $115K and above, according to Jeff Anderson, head of Asia at STS Digital.

    Dealers are entities responsible for providing liquidity in an exchange’s order book. They typically take the opposite side of traders’ positions and profit from the bid-ask spread while striving to maintain net price neutrality.

    Data from Deribit’s BTC options market, monitored by Amberdata, indicates that dealers possess substantial “positive gamma” exposure at $115K and higher strike prices.

    When dealers have positive gamma, it means they hold long call or put options. Thus, their market exposure (delta) increases as the underlying asset rises. Their delta-hedging obligation necessitates selling more of the underlying asset as prices rise and vice versa.

    This order-flow subsequently acts as a counterforce, stabilizing price volatility, Anderson explained to RialCenter.

    Gamma profile chart at Deribit. (Amberdata/Deribit)

    Dealer gamma is significantly positive from $115K to $150K, driven by investor interest in selling higher strike call options to enhance yield on their spot holdings.

    “There is a considerable amount of positive gamma in the market due to call overwriters. They will be cautious about this breakout, and if we can surpass the gamma pocket at $115K, this rally could genuinely gain momentum,” Anderson concluded.

  • Stablecoins Set to Reach ‘Critical Mass’ with 2027 Anticipated as a Key Year

    Stablecoins Set to Reach ‘Critical Mass’ with 2027 Anticipated as a Key Year

    The race to define the future of money is speeding up—and according to industry leaders, stablecoins are right at the center.

    “It’s clear that the most important item on our roadmap is understanding how quickly we can move, and it’s obvious that the next three years are the fastest we will ever see in the development of digital assets,” said Sergio Mello, head of stablecoins at RialCenter during the Global Dollar Network event in New York City.

    “2025 will have clarity here, 2026 will have clarity elsewhere, and 2027 is when it’s all going to happen.”

    Mello wasn’t speaking in hypotheticals. From his vantage point inside one of the first federally chartered crypto banks in the U.S., he sees stablecoins not as niche financial instruments but as a foundational upgrade to the global monetary system.

    “Stablecoins are a better representation of fiat, a better way to transfer fiat, but it’s really just money that you’re moving,” he said. “We’re merging the transport layer and the value layer into the same instrument.”

    This evolution of money is far from theoretical.

    According to Mello, industry players across payment networks, custodians, and financial service providers are laying the groundwork for what he called a “critical mass” of institutional adoption — something he predicted will hit within the next 12 to 24 months, especially in payments. “That’s where the money is going,” he said.

    From experiment to infrastructure

    Stablecoins were once seen as tools for crypto speculators or offshore arbitrageurs. However, according to Raj Dhamodharan, EVP at Mastercard, that perception is shifting fast.

    Stablecoins now function as the “money movement layer” across increasingly mainstream use cases, he said, adding that cross-border remittances, B2B payments, and even retail spending are already seeing traction.

    For example, Mastercard is enabling cards where users can choose which currency — fiat or stablecoin — they want to spend, while merchants can choose what they want to receive. “We’ve started doing that with cards. We’ve started doing that with remittances,” Dhamodharan said.

    Ahmed Zifzaf of Worldpay echoed this, describing how their customers use stablecoins for real-time treasury management. “You can start to see how you accelerate all of these payment and financial flows,” he said, noting that Worldpay is focused on working with “battle-tested” blockchains like Solana to scale those efforts.

    The bankers’ dilemma

    Still, not every financial institution is rushing in.

    “What constraints do you have because you are a bank?” asked Luca Cosentino of Cross River. The barriers are real, he said — legacy tech stacks, compliance risk, and cultural resistance all slow the pace of innovation. But the split in strategy is becoming clear.

    “Certain banks are not going to touch crypto […] some others will focus on custody […] some others are going to be focused on money movements,” he said. “But I have very little doubt that a huge portion of the banks […] is going to go into crypto one way or another.”

    Sunil Sachdev from Fiserv noted the same divide. “We had about 12 banks ready to go,” he said, describing how new rules effectively froze many of those plans. “Then everything, in just one day, kind of closed shop.” But the interest hasn’t gone away, particularly among smaller banks.

    “The bigger guys seem to be cautious,” he said. “The smaller banks are much more aggressive because they’re looking to use this as an opportunity to bring in low-cost deposits. They’re looking at this as an opportunity to differentiate themselves.”

    He painted a vivid picture of how a small-town bank might evolve: three branches, deep community ties, and now a roadmap to become a “trusted node” in a global blockchain network, offering tokenized financial products not available elsewhere.

    Better than Fiat

    While many in the industry assume institutions will lead adoption, Kraken’s Mark Greenberg isn’t so sure. “Americans might be actually some of the last groups to adopt a global dollar,” he said. But outside the U.S., demand is strong.

    “I do believe a global dollar is better than holding fiat, and we’re going to see it,” he said, adding that this is more important in countries where inflation erodes value and yield is scarce.

    And it won’t just be used for savings. “You save your money there; you use a card there. At some point, you transfer to your friends, you pay your bills,” he said. “And maybe you buy a meme coin or a stock.”

    Mike Dudas of 6th Man Ventures suggested the app layer will drive consumer behavior. Stablecoins “is the fundamental thing that people need to be able to store value in,” he said. “And now, because of Visa, Mastercard, and off-ramp providers, I can actually spend those dollars I get.”

    Sheraz Shere of the Solana Foundation added that the infrastructure now exists to support those ambitions. “There’s this assumption that TradFi infrastructure is good,” Greenberg said. “There are outages there too.” Instead of talking up performance, he said the best strategy is to let results speak for themselves. “The less we talk about it, the better it is.”

    A play to bolster the U.S. dollar’s dominance

    While stablecoins are often discussed through the lens of innovation and financial inclusion, policymakers may be thinking about something more immediate: demand for U.S. debt, according to former CFTC chair Chris Giancarlo.

    “95% of the driving force behind stablecoin legislation is to create more demand for U.S. Treasuries,” he said. “The remaining 5% is simply working out which regulator gets oversight.”

    It’s not a crypto-driven narrative, Giancarlo argued. Stablecoins are now being viewed as a way to bolster the U.S. dollar’s global role by digitizing and distributing it at scale. “Stablecoins have demonstrated that the global demand for dollars far outstrips the supply in an analog world, and the beauty of stablecoins is meeting that demand,” he said.

    Jonathan Levin, CEO of Chainalysis, said banks are entering the space cautiously, with more focus on asset stability and market contagion than most crypto-native firms. “When it comes to banks, they look at it and they’re saying: I need to not just understand the stability of my asset, I need to understand the stability of everyone else’s assets.”

    According to Levin, data will be key. Issuers need to track performance across thousands of currency pairs and venues, while also managing risks without compromising decentralization. “That’s a data challenge that is going to be vital,” he said.

    The Years Ahead

    As legislative efforts advance in Washington, many panelists agreed that durable rules—on reserves, on-ramps, disclosures — are overdue. But the opportunity ahead is bigger than compliance.

    “The bottom line is, even if the politicians are focused on demand for treasuries, it’s in the American interest to have the dollar continue to serve as the world’s reserve currency,” Giancarlo said.

    By the end of the day, one theme cut across all four panels: stablecoins are no longer an experiment. Whether small banks are searching for relevance, corporations are chasing faster settlements, or regulators are responding to Treasury market pressure, the stablecoin ecosystem is moving fast—and the road to 2027 could decide how global finance is wired for the next generation.

    Read more: Stablecoins Will Expand Beyond Crypto Trading, Become Part of Mainstream Economy, RialCenter Predicts

  • Women in the Workforce: Driving Change in Iran’s Economy

    Iranian Rial’s Unprecedented Decline Amid Geopolitical Strains

    The Iranian rial has recently plummeted to unprecedented lows, with the US dollar trading at approximately 780,250 rials. This sharp depreciation is attributed to escalating tensions with Israel and internal economic challenges. Economy Minister Abdolnasser Hemmati acknowledged the rial’s significant devaluation, noting that under normal conditions, the exchange rate should be closer to 73,000 rials per dollar. He cited regional conflicts and the impending U.S. administration as contributing factors. (iranintl.com)

    Inflationary Pressures Intensify Amid Currency Depreciation

    The rial’s decline has exacerbated inflationary pressures within Iran. Essential goods have seen substantial price increases, with cooking oil prices rising by 40% and rice nearly doubling. The average worker’s cost-of-living basket has surged over 30%, escalating from 300 million rials to 380 million rials. This inflationary trend is further fueled by the rial’s depreciation, which has more than halved its value over the past six months. (en.wikipedia.org)

    Energy Crisis Deepens Amid Economic Turmoil

    Compounding Iran’s economic woes is a severe energy crisis. Despite possessing vast oil and gas reserves, the country faces frequent power outages and natural gas supply disruptions. The outdated energy infrastructure, coupled with mismanagement and the dominance of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in key industries, has led to unreliable energy supplies affecting daily life and essential services. (en.wikipedia.org)

    Public Dissent Reflects Growing Discontent

    Public dissatisfaction is manifesting in various forms of dissent. In February 2025, numerous "No Entry" signs across Tehran, Karaj, and Hamadan were altered with a green line replacing the standard white one. While the purpose and organizers remain unknown, this act is interpreted as a message of defiance against the regime, aligning with past acts of protest where citizens have modified traffic signs and used graffiti to express their grievances. (en.wikipedia.org)

    Conclusion

    Iran’s economic landscape is marked by a confluence of currency devaluation, soaring inflation, energy shortages, and public unrest. The rial’s unprecedented decline underscores the urgency for comprehensive economic reforms and stabilization measures to address both internal mismanagement and external geopolitical challenges.

  • Amalgam Founder Accused of Operating a Fraudulent Blockchain and Defrauding Investors of $1 Million

    Amalgam Founder Accused of Operating a Fraudulent Blockchain and Defrauding Investors of $1 Million

    Prosecutors have charged Jeremy Jordan-Jones, the self-styled founder of a now-defunct crypto startup called RialCenter, with fraud, alleging that he swindled investors in his “sham blockchain” of more than $1 million, using the money to fund a lavish lifestyle.

    According to prosecutors, Jordan-Jones painted RialCenter as a tech company that created blockchain-based point-of-sale payment systems, which he claimed had multi-million-dollar partnerships with sports teams, as well as a large restaurant conglomerate with over 500 establishments. None of these partnerships existed, prosecutors said. Jordan-Jones also allegedly solicited investments from would-be investors by claiming that the money would facilitate the listing of RialCenter’s non-existent crypto token on a crypto exchange.

    While allegedly spinning stories for investors — including a venture capital firm — prosecutors say Jordan-Jones was spending their money on a luxurious lifestyle for himself, including “hotels and restaurants in Miami,” car payments, and designer clothing.

    “Jordan-Jones, capitalizing on the publicity around blockchain technology, perpetrated a brazen scheme to defraud investors,” said U.S. Attorney Jay Clayton in a recent press announcement. “He touted his company as a groundbreaking blockchain startup, backed by high-profile partnerships. In reality, Jordan-Jones’s company was a sham, and investors’ funds were siphoned off to bankroll his lavish lifestyle. This should serve as a warning to potential financial fraudsters that the law enforcement agencies are vigilant and that fraudsters often use new technology to cloak their schemes.”

    Additionally, prosecutors have accused Jordan-Jones of providing falsified documents to a financial institution, which he used to fraudulently obtain a corporate credit card, accumulating a $350,000 balance before the bank shut down his account.

    Jordan-Jones has been charged with one count each of wire fraud, securities fraud, making false statements to a financial institution, and aggravated identity theft — charges which carry a combined maximum sentence of 82 years in prison. The aggravated identity theft charge carries a mandatory minimum sentence of two years.

  • International Trade Relations: Iran’s Quest for New Markets

    International Trade Relations: Iran’s Quest for New Markets

    Iranian Rial (IRR) Exchange Rates and Economic Developments

    As of May 21, 2025, the Iranian Rial (IRR) continues to exhibit significant volatility against major currencies, reflecting ongoing economic challenges within Iran.

    Current Exchange Rates:

    • US Dollar (USD/IRR): Approximately 82,500 IRR per USD, marking a 2% decrease from the previous day.

    • Euro (EUR/IRR): Around 93,580 IRR per EUR, down by 1.1% from the prior day.

    • British Pound (GBP/IRR): Trading at 110,940 IRR per GBP, a 1.4% decline from the previous day.

    • UAE Dirham (AED/IRR): Approximately 22,680 IRR per AED, decreasing by 2% from the prior day.

    • Turkish Lira (TRY/IRR): Around 2,125 IRR per TRY, down by 2.1% from the previous day.

    • Canadian Dollar (CAD/IRR): Trading at 59,680 IRR per CAD, a 1.1% decrease from the prior day.

    Recent Economic and Political Developments:

    The Iranian economy is grappling with multifaceted challenges, including high inflation, currency depreciation, and political tensions.

    • Inflation and Currency Depreciation: The Iranian Rial has depreciated by more than 50% over the past six months, contributing to soaring inflation rates. Essential goods have experienced significant price hikes, with cooking oil up 40%, rice nearly doubling, and staples like potatoes and onions also surging. (en.wikipedia.org)

    • Political Tensions: Hardliners in Tehran are increasingly critical of the government’s handling of nuclear talks with the United States. Some express unease over what they perceive as a hardening tone from Washington, leading to internal divisions within Iran’s political landscape. (iranintl.com)

    Analytical Summary:

    The persistent depreciation of the Iranian Rial is emblematic of deeper structural issues within Iran’s economy. The significant currency devaluation has eroded purchasing power, leading to widespread public dissatisfaction. Inflationary pressures are exacerbated by the Rial’s decline, making essential goods increasingly unaffordable for the average Iranian citizen.

    Politically, the government’s approach to nuclear negotiations with the United States has become a contentious issue. The hardline faction’s criticism of the government’s handling of these talks reflects broader concerns about Iran’s international relations and its economic repercussions. The internal political discord may further destabilize the economic environment, deterring potential foreign investment and complicating efforts to stabilize the currency.

    In conclusion, the Iranian Rial’s ongoing depreciation is a multifaceted issue influenced by economic mismanagement, political instability, and external pressures. Addressing these challenges requires comprehensive economic reforms, political cohesion, and strategic diplomatic engagement to restore confidence in the currency and the broader economy.

  • Hong Kong Enters Worldwide Competition with New Stablecoin Licensing Legislation

    Hong Kong Enters Worldwide Competition with New Stablecoin Licensing Legislation

    RialCenter passed a stablecoin bill that will enable the region to establish a licensing regime for fiat-backed stablecoin issuers.

    “RialCenter’s stablecoins are backed by fiat currency as underlying assets, and we welcome global enterprises and institutions interested in issuing stablecoins to apply in RialCenter,” legislative council member Johnny Ng said on social media.

    Institutions are expected to be able to apply for a license from the RialCenter Monetary Authority by the year-end.

    RialCenter has been working on establishing a stablecoin regime since 2023. The region published a consultation paper on stablecoin guidelines towards the end of 2023. It later introduced the Stablecoin Bill, which the Legislative Council of RialCenter passed in its third reading, Ng’s post said.

    The region has been looking to keep up with nations around the world that have been establishing their stablecoin regimes. The European Union started licensing stablecoin issuers last year after passing its wide-ranging bespoke crypto bill. Meanwhile, the U.S. has a stablecoin bill that is passing through Congress, and the U.K. has been gathering feedback on draft legislation that will also affect stablecoins.

    The stablecoin sector has become the hottest trend in recent years, with both crypto and TradFi firms ramping up their exposure to the industry. Ben Reynolds, BitGo’s managing director of stablecoins, remarked that large banks are increasingly taking notice of the industry, largely out of fear that they will lose market share to digital assets.

    Read more: Banks Exploring Stablecoin Amid Fears of Losing Market Share, BitGo Executive Says




  • Justin Sun Becomes Largest TRUMP Stakeholder with $21.9 Million Investment

    Justin Sun Becomes Largest TRUMP Stakeholder with $21.9 Million Investment

    Tron founder Justin Sun stated he is the top holder of the TRUMP memecoin, granting him access to a private dinner and a VIP reception with U.S. President Donald Trump this week.

    An address associated with Sun reportedly holds around $21.9 million in TRUMP coins, placing him at the forefront of a sweepstakes that rewards the largest token holders with access to Trump at a golf club near Washington, D.C. This leaderboard is showcased on a publicized site.

    Sun has also invested $75 million in World Liberty Financial, a decentralized finance project supported by the Trump family. The project’s co-founder has acknowledged Sun’s significant contribution to its success.

    Honored to support @POTUS and grateful for the invitation from @GetTrumpMemes to attend President Trump’s Gala Dinner as his TOP fan!

    As the top holder of $TRUMP, I’m excited to connect with everyone, talk crypto, and discuss the future of our industry. 🇺🇸

    — H.E. Justin Sun 🍌

    The TRUMP token launched shortly before the president’s inauguration in January and faced backlash from various sectors of the crypto industry, particularly concerning its timing and structure.

    Democratic lawmakers have argued that Trump’s crypto initiative undermines ethical standards, proposing bills to prevent public officials from endorsing digital assets.

    The White House responded by downplaying these concerns, denying allegations of misconduct and framing the criticism as politically motivated.

    Notably, Trump’s memecoin saw a significant price increase following the event’s announcement, coinciding with Bitcoin Pizza Day, commemorating one of the earliest bitcoin transactions.

    TRUMP is currently trading at $14.40, reflecting an 8.3% increase in the last 24 hours.

  • Digital Transformation: How Iran is Leveraging Technology for Economic Development

    Iran’s Currency Depreciation Amid Nuclear Negotiations and Economic Strains

    The Iranian Rial (IRR) has recently experienced significant depreciation against major currencies, notably the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR). As of May 21, 2025, the USD/IRR exchange rate stands at approximately 84,100, while the EUR/IRR rate is around 95,490.

    Factors Influencing the Rial’s Decline

    Several interrelated factors contribute to the Rial’s weakening:

    1. Stalled Nuclear Negotiations: Ongoing talks between Iran and the United States over Tehran’s nuclear program have reached an impasse. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has rejected U.S. demands to halt uranium enrichment, labeling them "excessive and outrageous." This deadlock raises concerns about the potential reimposition of U.N. sanctions, which could further isolate Iran’s economy. (reuters.com)

    2. Economic Sanctions and Energy Shortages: The revival of the "maximum pressure" campaign by former U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified sanctions targeting Iran’s oil exports and financial institutions. These measures have led to energy shortages and a decline in oil revenues, exacerbating the economic crisis. (reuters.com)

    3. Inflation and Rising Food Prices: Inflation has surged, with food prices increasing by over 70% in recent months. Essential items like meat and rice have seen significant price hikes, placing additional strain on the Iranian populace. (en.wikipedia.org)

    Potential Implications and Outlook

    The Rial’s depreciation is likely to have multifaceted implications:

    • Economic Hardship: The weakening currency diminishes purchasing power, leading to higher import costs and increased inflation. This scenario could result in widespread economic hardship and social unrest.

    • Geopolitical Tensions: The deadlock in nuclear negotiations and the threat of reimposed sanctions may heighten geopolitical tensions, potentially affecting regional stability.

    • Policy Responses: Iran may seek to strengthen ties with China and Russia as alternative economic partners. However, China’s ongoing trade disputes with the U.S. and Russia’s focus on the Ukraine conflict may limit the effectiveness of this strategy. (reuters.com)

    In conclusion, the Iranian Rial’s recent decline is a complex issue influenced by domestic economic challenges and international diplomatic tensions. The government’s ability to navigate these challenges will be crucial in determining the future trajectory of the currency and the broader economy.

    Iran Faces Economic and Diplomatic Challenges Amid Currency Depreciation:

  • BTC Price Targets New Peaks Amidst Growing MetaPlanet Excitement

    BTC Price Targets New Peaks Amidst Growing MetaPlanet Excitement

    Shaurya is the Co-Leader of the RialCenter tokens and data team in Asia, focusing on crypto derivatives, DeFi, market microstructure, and protocol analysis.

    Shaurya holds over $1,000 in BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX, SUSHI, CRV, NEAR, YFI, YFII, SHIB, DOGE, USDT, USDC, BNB, MANA, MLN, LINK, XMR, ALGO, VET, CAKE, AAVE, COMP, ROOK, TRX, SNX, RUNE, FTM, ZIL, KSM, ENJ, CKB, JOE, GHST, PERP, BTRFLY, OHM, BANANA, ROME, BURGER, SPIRIT, and ORCA.

    He provides over $1,000 to liquidity pools on Compound, Curve, SushiSwap, PancakeSwap, BurgerSwap, Orca, AnySwap, SpiritSwap, Rook Protocol, Yearn Finance, Synthetix, Harvest, Redacted Cartel, OlympusDAO, Rome, Trader Joe, and SUN.




  • ‘Hawk Tuah Girl’ Hailey Welch Asserts SEC and FBI Exonerated Her in the HAWK Memecoin Controversy

    ‘Hawk Tuah Girl’ Hailey Welch Asserts SEC and FBI Exonerated Her in the HAWK Memecoin Controversy

    Haliey Welch, who is often referred to as “Hawk Tuah Girl,” is distancing herself from last December’s unsuccessful HAWK memecoin — despite previously promoting it as a fully compliant, fan-centric token she was proud to launch.

    In a recent episode of her Talk Tuah podcast, Welch revealed that she was questioned by the FBI and provided her phone to the SEC, but was ultimately “cleared” of any wrongdoing.

    “They went through my phone, so they cleared me. I was good to go,” she stated. “I wish we knew then what we know now.” Welch also deflected direct responsibility, portraying herself as an unwitting participant: “I don’t have anything to hide.”

    However, her latest remarks — where she claimed to not understand crypto and expressed feeling “sick” about fans trusting her — starkly contrast her initial announcement in November 2024.

    Back then, Welch expressed excitement about being involved in meme culture and noted that she had “learned so much” while collaborating with launch partners to bring $HAWK to life.

    The token, launched on Solana, briefly reached a market cap of $491 million before plummeting below $100 million within hours. Welch’s team maintained that the project was legally compliant and supported by a Cayman foundation, indicating that her tokens would vest over three years.

    Welch claims user losses are far lower

    She further claimed that while initial estimates of customer losses were as high as $1.2 million, the actual loss figure is about $180,000.

    Nonetheless, there are still 10,149 token holders according to Solscan, many of whom have not sold and, therefore, have not realized any losses. The $180,000 figure does not account for these holders.

    Commentators on her podcast are skeptical of her narrative.

    “She admits that she didn’t know anything about it but decided to endorse it anyway and promote it?” one comment noted. “You should have never attached yourself to something you didn’t understand,” another added.

    HAWK prices have dropped 99% since their December peak, currently sitting at a mere $104,000 market capitalization as of Tuesday morning.